USDRUB Chart (US Dollar / Russian Ruble Forex Chart)

Explanation of the charts I posted earlier

I'll try to explain. The context is the concept of purchasing power parity: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/fliz8m/purchasing_power_parity_ppp_in_fx/
The concept is that the numbers themselves can tell you a lot, for example, the rate of a pair, say AUD/CAD specifically state what the AUDJPY and CADJPY should be. The AUDCAD is 0.83183 which means 1 CAD is equal to 1.20216 AUD. So however many JPY you can get for a AUD you should be able to get 1.20216 times more JPY for a CAD.
AUDJPY = 64.201
64.201 x 1.20216 = CADJPY = 77.17987
DISEQUILLIBRIUM:
But the actual market price is CADJPY=76.974. Which means there is a disequilibrium between what the actual rate is. It can be quantified as the difference, -0.20587. I've taken that concept and expanded it to all currencies in a pretty large spreadsheet. The aggregate disequilibrium is accounted for each pair.
CURRENCY WEIGHT:
For this example, both the AUD is putting -0.20587 "weight" on the CADJPY and the CAD is putting -0.20587 "wieght" on the AUDJPY. This is collected for each individual currency and added together to represent the weight.
INDEX STRENGTH:
For example:
EUGBP 0.91447
USD/GBP 0.86211
CHF/GBP 0.87428
CAD/GBP 0.60099
AUD/GBP 0.50116
NZD/GBP 0.50600
JPY/GBP 0.007776594
ZAGBP 0.0484013
NOKGBP 0.0717705
HKD/GBP 0.110299
CNH/GBP 0.119747
SGD/GBP 0.588505
TRY/GBP 0.129911
SEK/GBP 0.0821385
DKK/GBP 0.12234
PLN/GBP 0.200372
MXN/GBP 0.0348339
RUB/GBP 0.0106524
Which averages out to 12.20271181 for the GBP. When this is done for each currency and added together which comes to 80.2174589.
GBP 12.20271181 15.21%
EUR 10.70881522 13.35%
USD 10.43321516 13.01%
CHF 9.209341569 11.48%
CAD 7.268234336 9.06%
SGD 7.16468796 8.93%
AUD 6.058258744 7.55%
NZD 6.065011193 7.56%
PLN 2.411473714 3.01%
TRY 1.541615401 1.92%
DKK 1.441292277 1.80%
CNH 1.411273128 1.76%
HKD 1.290361376 1.61%
SEK 0.952565391 1.19%
NOK 0.839225708 1.05%
ZAR 0.54313985 0.68%
MXN 0.507674255 0.63%
JPY 0.094083269 0.12%
RUB 0.074478539 0.09%
I've found that charting isn't needed to understand what prices should be now. They help in understanding what motivates people to have money exposed. Charts are in the psychological part of trading.
Edit: The JPY pairs are calculated times 0.01, that's why it's index is greater than RUB. I guess I can't post the charts anymore.
submitted by butstillkeepitreal to Forex [link] [comments]

Pt. II: Countdown to 80 RUB/USD...90?...100?

Looks like yesterday I didn't give myself enough leeway with my title because I don't think anybody expected what happened yesterday to happen. There was a double digit decline in the RUB's value and a huge emergency rate hike late at night by the RCB.
The latest numbers from the Cenbank are in and they just spent Over $2 billion propping up the ruble
If you want to follow:spin0 has linked us these nice sites with good charts: http://forex.tradingcharts.com/chart/US%20Dollar_Russian%20Ruble.html
http://www.xe.com/?c=RUB&r=
If you have another good site to monitor the situation (like zenrus, post in the comments! I'm going to try and make this post a little easier to follow too.
Time (EST) USD/RUB ±RUB/USD ±%
7:02am 75.1710 +9.5880 +14.6200%
8:06am 72.4535 +6.8705 +10.4800%
9:03am 72.9235 +7.3405 +11.1900%
11:34am 68.3180 +2.7350 +4.1700%
1:00pm 72.2495 + 6.6665 +10.1600%
2:47pm 67.5005 + 1.9175 +2.9200%
submitted by AntaresRho to UkrainianConflict [link] [comments]

Trading Ideas Contest (10 - 14 March) - Post your trades and win Gold!

UPDATE: RESULTS!
Thanks again everyone who participated! It was quite an eventful trading week. Hope you all had a chance to make some pips.
Here are the results of the trades I could find that did get executed. I might have left one or two out that I missed - let me know if you have a winning one that I didn't put in!
Trader Day Market Buy/Sell Entry S/L TP Result Profit/Loss Comment
Green_Pips Mon NZD/USD Buy 0.845 0.8395 0.855 Win 100 TP Hit
FXReddit Tues EUAUD Buy 1.5371 Win 88 Closed manually
Phatey Mon GBP/JPY Sell 172.36 173 171 Win 66 Closed manually
FXReddit Tues GBP/AUD Buy 1.8436 Win 44 Closed manually
Asiansupermarket Mon USD/RUB Buy 36.3 37.07 Win 33 Closed manually
FXReddit Tues AUD/USD Sell 0.902 Win 27 Closed manually
3Nelson Mon EUUSD Sell 1.38796 1.3906 1.3819 Win 21 Closed manually
phatey Tues GBP/JPY Sell 171.85 171 172.15 Win 15 Closed manually
Asiansupermarket Mon USD/CAD Buy 1.106 1.116 (Win) (+14) Still open
jadd806 Thurs NZD/CAD Buy 0.9479 0.937 0.9586 (Loss) (-12) Still open
Blades1 Mon EUUSD Sell 1.387 1.3917 1.3787 Loss -18 Closed manually
Ormin Mon AUD/USD Buy 0.8992 0.897 N/A Loss -22 SL
NormanConquest Mon GBP/USD Buy 1.6704 1.6674 1.68 Loss -30 SL
Blades1 Wed EUGBP Sell 0.8332 0.8354 0.8265 Loss -32 SL
NormanConquest Mon EUUSD Buy 1.3879 1.3845 1.395 Loss -34 SL
Phatey Mon USD/JPY Sell 103 103.35 102 Loss -35 SL
ddr4lyfe Mon EUJPY Sell 142.85 143.5 141.55 Loss -65 SL
NormanConquest Tues GBP/JPY Buy 171.15 170.4 Loss -75 SL
Wyatt2000 Tues GBP/USD Buy 1.664 1.6588 1.3724 Loss -76 SL
phatey Thurs GBP/JPY Buy 169.1 168 172.59 Loss -110 SL
And the winner is...
I'd say that Green_Pips's awesome NZD/USD long, bagging him 100 pips in return for risking 50, was the clear winner this week. This one was nice and simple, good R and it ran all the way to the TP - but not before spiking around a lot. And that's what makes it the winner in my books: unlike most of our other winners which were closed manually, Green_Pips held on to his and it eventually hit his full target - the only trade to do so.
Not to say there weren't some other great trades - FXReddit's AUD short trifecta made him plenty of pips, but I didn't want to start a precedent by considering baskets of trades or average performance :P
So well done to Green_Pips and all the other winners, and if you weren't one - there's always next week!
Hey guys, HUGE thanks to everyone who participated in last week's contest and big up to phatey for taking the prize!
Let's see if one of us can knock him off his perch ;)
Rules are the same:
  1. Post as many trades as you like, each in a separate comment. Only trades posted before or at the time of execution obviously. Ideally update your post with how the trade turned out.
  2. Entry levels, stops and targets need to be provided, as well as any specifics about how you plan to manage the trade. Charts and reasons for the trade are optional but definitely appreciated - we're all here to learn
  3. Trades will be judged on technical "goodness", risk management, as well as any reasoning you provide.
  4. Trades still open at Friday's close will be considered closed at that point.
  5. No touching of the hair and face
So let's hear your trade ideas. If you've got one, take it out and put it on the table.
Best of luck to us all!
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

The sanctions paradox, With Russia's energy exports denominated in USD and their state budget in RUB help me understand how sanctions are really going to have any effect on their government reddit.

I do a bit of forex trading in my spare time as a hobby and after trying to figure out have we hit the bottom on the rouble yet I was left thinking things can't really get to bad for the Russian state budget and it's really only their citizens that are going to be left feeling the pinch, Just hear me out and fell free to correct my thesis.
So anyway Russia typically prices it's oil and gas contracts in USD thanks to the current "petrodollar" standard in energy contracts. The vast majority of their income comes through energy exports and they get paid in USD.
They can now get 46 roubles for every dollar of oil sold compared to this time last year as a result of the 36% year on year decline in the value of RUB vs USD which means their many of their obligations and public sector wages also declined 36%.
In other words this is going to screw ordinary Russian worker but the declining rouble is going to have little to no effect on the Russian government's ability to balance the books and ironically makes it easier for them to pay pensions/benefits/public sector wages
Now the one thing that is going to hurt them in the short term is the decline in oil prices since 40% of their exports are crude oil but Russia has been running a huge trade surplus in recent years and even with sanctions and lower oil prices this continues to be the case presently.
Oct 10, 2014
Russia’s trade surplus widened in August as President Vladimir Putin banned food imports from the U.S. and some of its allies.
The surplus was $15.8 billion, up 12 percent from a year earlier, the central bank in Moscow said today on its website. The median estimate of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg was $16.1 billion. Imports decreased 12 percent to $25.1 billion and exports fell 3.7 percent to $40.9 billion.
Thing is when it comes to a trade war cash is king and Russia seems to have no problem covering it's obligations as regards imports. Compare that to Ukraine on the other hand who's declining currency and increasing trade defect mean it needs foreign aid just to pay for the day to day goods it's importing.
In short I cant find any credible economic threat that the west poses to Russia that doesn't come back to bite them in the ass themselves, lower oil prices are going to have a blowback effect on Us shale and Canadian tar sands production of which many require $80 a barrel prices just to be profitable.
Anyway I hope you appreciate my analysis, I did this mainly for myself as I opened a short position on the rouble back in March when the central bank was still intervening to support the price but now that it's stopped and the rouble has been allowed to float I'm pretty much going to close my position unless there is something I'm seriously overlooking here.
Sources:
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/russia/balance-of-trade http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USDRUB:CUchart http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-10/russia-august-trade-surplus-rises-as-imports-decline-on-food-ban.html
submitted by Ididpotato to UkrainianConflict [link] [comments]

Questions about Ichimoku Clouds

I've been reading this week a lot about Ichimoku clouds. I am incredibly new to the Forex world, but I cannot seem to find anyone really using this outside of Japan.
From what I can tell at a quick glance is that it seems to capture a lot of the price movements. For example, in the USD/RUB charts you can see the moving averages cross about July 14th high above the cloud. It looks like if you bought in on the next price breakout on the 17th you would have caught the USD gain on the Ruble. I know the Ruble's fall is mostly due to oil prices and geopolitics right now, so I am also looking at GBP/USD at the beginning of this year. The averages cross in mid-February, catching the fall, and then releasing at the end of May before it recovers. Am I wrong in this, and, if so, how?
This is the reading I've been using
TL;DR:
Two questions regarding Ichimoku clouds:
Thanks for the help!
submitted by drunk_journalist to investing [link] [comments]

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View the reciprocal forex rates chart (Russian Ruble - RUB / US Dollar - USD) by tapping the link near the symbol (USDRUB). You can customize the forex quotes table below to display your favourite currency pairs. Just choose "manage favourites" in under the "Select Currencies" menu. Symbol Bid Ask High Low Open Change Time; Major Pairs US Dollar Pairs Euro British Pound Swiss Franc Japanese ... Forex Charts; FX News; Home » FX Rates » USD RUB Exchange Rate. USD RUB Exchange Rate. This is the live USD RUB rate forex data page, displaying the FX price for the USD/RUB. The FX rate self-updates every few seconds. Compare exchange rates with base currency USD with the second table of results. Also see the live USD RUB chart, USD exchange rate or the RUB exchange rate. Live USD to RUB ... USD to RUB exchange rate is published here and is very accurate, updating 24/7 with live exchange rates. Conversion of 1 usd to rub displayed in three ways: 1 usd to rub exchange rate, usd to rub converter and usd to rub live and history chart. Also you can see US dollar to Russian ruble and Russian ruble to US dollar prepared conversions. XE Currency Charts: USD to RUB. US Dollar to Russian Ruble Chart. This USD/RUB Chart lets you see this pair's currency rate history for up to 10 years! XE uses highly accurate, live mid-market rates. USD to RUB Chart. 29 Oct 2020 22:30 UTC - 30 Oct 2020 22:38 UTC. USD/RUB close:79.36187 low:78.77116 high:79.56453 Convert. Need a cash payout option? With cash payout to over 100 countries, our ... USD RUB (US Dollar / Russian Ruble) The US Dollar vs. the Russian Ruble pair is representing the two contradicting and rival economies and political systems in the world. This pair is very sensitive to the crude oil volatility as the Russian economy depends on the petroleum market greatly. The US Dollar, which is the most traded currency in the world, is considered to be very stable and safe ... RUB; ZAR; Markets. Markets. Markets Overview. Dow; Nasdaq; S&P 500; NYSE; Gold VIX ... Forex Charts - Jim Wyckoff; Market Analysis - Kira Brecht; Hawaii Six O - Gary Wagner; Opinion with Peter Hug ; Commentator's Corner; The Open – Jim Wyckoff; Contributed Commentaries; Mining. Latest Mining News. Top Mining Picks; Mining Minutes; Mining News; Mining Videos; Mining by Sector. Gold Sector ... USD/RUB charts. USD/RUB charts, forex charts. Sign in: x. Visit our new Mobile Website next time you access NetDania with your mobile device. The NetDania website uses cookies and by continuing below you consent to this. You can find out more here. Continue. Home ...

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